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Harkemase Boys vs De Dijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Achuna I.
46' Event
Bouius H.
48'
de Vries J.

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys in this Derde Divisie 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harkemase Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Harkemase Boys
20%
Draws
34%
De Dijk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • De Dijk haven't matched Harkemase Boys's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Harkemase Boys have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 20%
De Dijk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys De Dijk
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.32 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2019 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs De Dijk
3:1
Nov 24, 2018 Derde Divisie
De Dijk vs Harkemase Boys
1:4
Aug 18, 2018 KNVB Beker
Harkemase Boys vs De Dijk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harkemase Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Achuna I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouius H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

De Dijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Christophersen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 85 / 100
De Dijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys De Dijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harkemase Boys scored in 83% of their last 40 outings.

De Dijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 8

De Dijk

(Away)
25 May
De Dijk
4 : 3
VV DOVO
18 May
Lisse
3 : 1
De Dijk
11 May
De Dijk
1 : 9
HSV Hoek
04 May
ODIN '59
3 : 5
De Dijk
20 Apr
De Dijk
0 : 7
ASWH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 34 25 5 4 94:41 80
2 Quick Boys 34 22 6 6 84:40 72
3 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 21 5 8 102:47 68
4 HSV Hoek 34 19 7 8 82:55 64
5 Groningen U21 34 17 7 10 66:39 58
6 Harkemase Boys 34 17 6 11 68:59 57
7 ASWH 34 16 7 11 74:54 55
8 SteDoCo 34 17 4 13 65:56 55
9 ODIN '59 34 17 3 14 71:66 54
10 Lisse 34 16 3 15 62:64 51
11 VV DOVO 34 14 6 14 76:66 48
12 Ajax (Am) 34 12 5 17 52:61 41
13 ONS Sneek 34 12 3 19 57:58 39
14 VVOG 34 9 8 17 41:72 35
15 Eemdijk 34 9 2 23 51:87 29
16 SJC Noordwijk 34 8 2 24 50:105 26
17 De Dijk 34 4 7 23 49:111 19
18 Achilles 29 34 4 8 22 44:107 16
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jong Volendam 34 22 5 7 97:44 71
2 TEC 34 21 7 6 63:38 70
3 OFC Oostzaan 34 18 8 8 79:43 62
4 GOES 34 20 1 13 80:55 61
5 UNA 34 17 5 12 68:55 56
6 FC OSS '20 34 16 6 12 70:53 54
7 HV & CV Quick 34 15 5 14 67:66 50
8 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 13 8 13 59:57 47
9 Westlandia 34 14 4 16 59:73 46
10 Dongen 34 14 3 17 51:70 45
11 USV Hercules 34 12 8 14 55:63 44
12 HSC '21 34 14 2 18 51:73 44
13 Blauw Geel 34 12 7 15 62:65 43
14 EVV 34 11 9 14 39:43 41
15 JVC '31 Cuijk 34 12 3 19 43:77 39
16 OJC Rosmalen 34 10 5 19 49:61 35
17 KVV Quick 20 34 8 7 19 53:84 31
18 HBS Craeyenhout 34 7 7 20 37:62 28
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2019/2020 (Main)