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Stadium Background

Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker De Bosk, Harkema
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Holsink S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Harkemase Boys
30%
Draws
43%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Harkemase Boys have managed 1.68 goals a game lately — Excelsior 31 are scoring more at 2.07.
  • Excelsior 31 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Excelsior 31, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys Excelsior 31
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.68 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 KNVB Beker
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:2
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harkemase Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Excelsior 31 Compare

Top Goalscorer Holsink S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Excelsior 31 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Harkemase Boys stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS Excelsior 31
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1
Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
ACV Assen 6
Westlandia 1
VV Hoogeveen 3
SVZW Wierden 2
Groene Ster 2
VV Heerjansdam 1
Be Quick 1887 0
AFC 2
Hardenberg -
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Barendrecht -
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Harkemase Boys 0
Excelsior 31 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
VV Scherpenzeel 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportlust 3
Blauw Geel 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk 1
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV -
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ATC 65 1
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
GOES 0
VV Noordwijk 1
HZVV Hoogeveen 0
Frisia 4
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Sparta Nijkerk 2
Venray 0
Rkvv Spartaan 20 0
RKSV UDI 19 5
Dongen 2
Watergraafsmeer 4
TEC 4
Almkerk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Longa '30 0
Koninklijke HFC 4
Surhusterfean 1
VV DOVO 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Mierlo-Hout 2
Germania Groesbeek 3
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TBD -
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TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
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Excelsior -
Zwolle -
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TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
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Elinkwijk 0
Eemdijk 3
GSV 28 0
Roosendaal 4
Rijnsburgse Boys -
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Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
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Spakenburg -
TOGB 3
Katwijk 2
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Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
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De Graafschap -
Staphorst 3
UNA 2
Genemuiden 2
Lisse 1
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Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
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Sittard -
Telstar -
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Almere City -
Lierop 0
VV Zwaluwen 7
Purmersteijn 4
RKVV Zwaluw 3
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
FC 's-Gravenzande 0
Gemert 2
NSVV 2
VV Kloetinge 4
Achilles Veen 4
SV Poortugaal 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 5
VV Bennekom 0
VVSB 2
Ajax (Am) 0
USV Hercules 1
EVV 3
HVV Hollandia 2
RKSV Halsteren 3
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1/64-finals
ACV Assen 2
VV Hoogeveen 1
Groene Ster 1
AFC 6
Hardenberg 0
Barendrecht 1
TBD -
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Excelsior 31 4
Alkmaarse FC 1934 3
TBD -
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Sportlust 0
Excelsior Maassluis 2
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GVVV 4
DVS '33 Ermelo 0
VV Noordwijk 1
Frisia 0
TBD -
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Sparta Nijkerk 3
RKSV UDI 19 1
Watergraafsmeer 5
TEC 4
TBD -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC 3
VV DOVO 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Germania Groesbeek 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TBD -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
Eemdijk 2
Roosendaal 1
Rijnsburgse Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam 3
Spakenburg 2
TOGB 4
Rohda Raalte 6
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
De Graafschap -
Staphorst 2
Genemuiden 3
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
Almere City -
VV Zwaluwen 0
Purmersteijn 1
IJsselmeervogels 0
Gemert 3
VV Kloetinge 8
Achilles Veen 0
TBD -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
Rijnvogels 0
VVSB 1
EVV 3
RKSV Halsteren 1
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1/32-finals
ACV Assen -
AFC -
Barendrecht -
Waalwijk -
De Treffers -
Heracles -
Excelsior 31 -
Den Haag -
Excelsior Maassluis -
Heerenveen -
Eindhoven FC -
FC Volendam -
Groningen -
FC Emmen -
GVVV -
VV Noordwijk -
Helmond Sport -
Willem II -
HSV Hoek -
Sparta Nijkerk -
Watergraafsmeer -
NAC Breda -
Koninklijke HFC -
G.A. Eagles -
Kozakken Boys -
Utrecht -
Maastricht -
Excelsior -
Zwolle -
TOP Oss -
Quick Boys -
Eemdijk -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Den Bosch -
RKAV Volendam -
Rohda Raalte -
Roda -
De Graafschap -
Genemuiden -
Dordrecht -
Sparta Rotterdam -
Sittard -
Telstar -
Almere City -
Purmersteijn -
Gemert -
VV Kloetinge -
Cambuur -
Venlo -
Vitesse -
VVSB -
EVV -
TBD -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
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Final
TBD -
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