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Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys Logo

Harkemase Boys

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Excelsior 31 Logo

Excelsior 31

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys host Excelsior 31 in the Derde Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Harkemase Boys at 1.63 goals for, 1.33 against; Excelsior 31 at 2.14 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, Harkemase Boys have won 3 to Excelsior 31's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.94, favoring Harkemase Boys. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Harkemase Boys
15%
Draws
46%
Excelsior 31
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harkemase Boys come out ahead of Excelsior 31 on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior 31 taking it.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys Excelsior 31
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 KNVB Beker
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:2
May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs Harkemase Boys
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Excelsior 31
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 14 / 100
Excelsior 31 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys Excelsior 31

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harkemase Boys scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior 31 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Harkemase Boys has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS Excelsior 31
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
17 Oct
VV DOVO
2 : 3
Harkemase Boys
10 Oct
Harkemase Boys
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior 31

(Away)
17 Oct
Excelsior 31
5 : 0
Genemuiden
10 Oct
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
Excelsior 31
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3
Alkmaarse FC 1934
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 10 7 2 1 26:10 23
2 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
3 Harkemase Boys 10 7 2 1 20:14 23
4 Excelsior 31 10 7 1 2 28:9 22
5 Genemuiden 10 7 0 3 22:15 21
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 10 5 4 1 18:14 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 10 4 2 4 22:21 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 10 4 1 5 24:23 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 USV Hercules 10 3 1 6 12:22 10
13 Staphorst 10 2 3 5 16:21 9
14 Eemdijk 9 2 1 6 13:28 7
15 DVS '33 Ermelo 10 1 3 6 13:19 6
16 VV DOVO 10 1 2 7 12:25 5
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 10 0 1 9 9:28 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 10 8 1 1 22:2 25
2 Lisse 10 8 1 1 22:8 25
3 Excelsior Maassluis 10 7 2 1 21:7 23
4 Rijnvogels 10 6 2 2 25:12 20
5 RKSV UDI 19 10 6 2 2 20:9 20
6 Dongen 10 5 1 4 24:21 16
7 VV Zwaluwen 10 5 1 4 11:14 16
8 SV Poortugaal 10 5 0 5 12:14 15
9 GOES 10 4 2 4 19:25 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
12 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
13 TOGB 10 2 3 5 16:24 9
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 10 2 2 6 13:21 8
17 Achilles Veen 10 2 0 8 8:22 6
18 EVV 10 0 3 7 11:23 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)