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Stadium Background

Harkemase Boys vs Urk

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 De Bosk
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Urk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Harkemase Boys
33%
Draws
27%
Urk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Harkemase Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Urk haven't matched Harkemase Boys's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Harkemase Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Urk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys Urk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Urk
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Harkemase Boys
1:1
May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
Urk vs Harkemase Boys
2:4
Dec 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Urk
4:2
Apr 6, 2024 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs Urk
4:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 38 / 100
Urk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys Urk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harkemase Boys scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Urk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS Urk
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rohda Raalte34207763:3667
2DVS '33 Ermelo341711659:3962
3Sparta Nijkerk341941184:4361
4ADO 20 Heemskerk34179846:3660
5Genemuiden341751261:5256
6Staphorst341731463:5354
7Harkemase Boys3414101056:4452
8VV DOVO341571253:4352
9Eemdijk341481268:5950
10VV Scherpenzeel341471359:4949
11VV Hoogeveen341461454:6448
12Sportlust341451554:5247
13USV Hercules341351653:5744
14Excelsior 31341241849:5740
15Huizen341171651:6340
16TEC341241848:6440
17Urk34871961:9731
18HSC '2134152835:1098
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VV Kloetinge34227568:4373
2Lisse34208667:3368
3VVSB34215870:3768
4Rijnvogels34197863:3964
5Gemert341710771:4661
6Roosendaal341591071:5854
7TOGB341581164:6153
8VV Zwaluwen341561361:4851
9Blauw Geel341461453:5148
10VV Noordwijk341281456:5144
11RKSV UDI 19341161757:7439
12UNA341081651:5938
13GOES341071743:6137
14Groene Ster341061845:6436
15SteDoCo341042035:6934
16SVV Scheveningen34952049:6532
17Meerssen34871947:7031
18ASWH34672145:8725