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Harkemase Boys vs VV Hoogeveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harkemase Boys in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harkemase Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Harkemase Boys
20%
Draws
42%
VV Hoogeveen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: VV Hoogeveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Harkemase Boys have won more games recently than VV Hoogeveen.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 12%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harkemase Boys VV Hoogeveen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs VV Hoogeveen
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Harkemase Boys
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs VV Hoogeveen
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Harkemase Boys
2:2
Sep 16, 2023 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs VV Hoogeveen
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harkemase Boys 30 / 100
VV Hoogeveen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harkemase Boys VV Hoogeveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Hoogeveen let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Harkemase Boys scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Harkemase Boys went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harkemase Boys VS VV Hoogeveen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harkemase Boys

(Home)
03 Oct
Purmersteijn
4 : 2
Harkemase Boys
26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0
VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2
Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6

VV Hoogeveen

(Away)
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excelsior 31 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 ACV Assen 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 VV Scherpenzeel 8 6 1 1 15:9 19
4 Genemuiden 8 6 0 2 19:9 18
5 Harkemase Boys 8 5 2 1 15:11 17
6 TEC 8 5 1 2 27:16 16
7 Sportlust 8 4 3 1 16:13 15
8 Sparta Nijkerk 8 4 2 2 22:16 14
9 Purmersteijn 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
10 VV Hoogeveen 8 4 1 3 22:17 13
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
12 USV Hercules 8 3 0 5 12:20 9
13 DVS '33 Ermelo 8 1 2 5 10:15 5
14 VV DOVO 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Eemdijk 7 1 0 6 9:26 3
16 Staphorst 8 0 3 5 10:18 3
17 HVV Hollandia 7 0 1 6 13:23 1
18 SVZW Wierden 8 0 1 7 9:26 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rijnvogels 8 6 2 0 25:7 20
2 VV Noordwijk 8 6 1 1 15:2 19
3 Lisse 8 6 1 1 14:6 19
4 Excelsior Maassluis 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
5 RKSV UDI 19 8 4 2 2 14:9 14
6 GOES 8 4 2 2 16:17 14
7 Dongen 8 4 1 3 21:17 13
8 VV Zwaluwen 8 4 1 3 7:10 13
9 Gemert 8 2 4 2 12:13 10
10 Blauw Geel 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
11 Roosendaal 8 3 0 5 13:16 9
12 SV Poortugaal 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
13 UNA 8 1 5 2 12:13 8
14 TOGB 8 2 2 4 13:18 8
15 VVSB 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
16 Groene Ster 8 1 3 4 12:20 6
17 Achilles Veen 8 1 0 7 7:20 3
18 EVV 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)