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Stadium Background

Harland & Wolff vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harland & Wolff play Lurgan Celtic in the NIFL Championship 2017/2018. Harland & Wolff are favorites here. Recently, Harland & Wolff averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Lurgan Celtic averaged 0.83 goals scored and 3.07 conceded. In past meetings, Harland & Wolff won 4, Lurgan Celtic won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 27, 2018 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Harland & Wolff and 1.38 for Lurgan Celtic. This points to a Harland & Wolff double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Harland & Wolff
20%
Draws
11%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harland & Wolff

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Harland & Wolff picked up more points recently compared to Lurgan Celtic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Harland & Wolff Clean Sheet 17%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harland & Wolff Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 2.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 3.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2018 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Lurgan Celtic
1:0
Sep 23, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Harland & Wolff
2:2
Apr 29, 2017 NIFL Championship
Harland & Wolff vs Lurgan Celtic
4:1
Mar 18, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Harland & Wolff
2:3
Feb 11, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Harland & Wolff
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harland & Wolff Compare

Top Goalscorer Gwiazda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harland & Wolff 66 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harland & Wolff Lurgan Celtic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harland & Wolff Win (1)
Secondary Pick Harland & Wolff & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harland & Wolff attacking → ← attacking Lurgan Celtic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harland & Wolff scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Lurgan Celtic let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Harland & Wolff went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lurgan Celtic lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 11
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Institute22154337:2449
2Harland & Wolff22117441:2940
3Newry City22116543:2339
4Ballyclare22123744:3239
5Loughgall221111034:3834
6Portadown2296748:2833
7Larne2278733:3829
8Knockbreda22741127:3125
9Limavady22741136:4225
10PSNI22641227:3822
11Dergview22371224:4716
12Lurgan Celtic22361327:5115