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Harlow vs Phoenix Sports

England England

FA Trophy 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harlow play Phoenix Sports in the FA Trophy 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harlow averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Phoenix Sports averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Harlow won 1, Phoenix Sports won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 9, 2021 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Harlow and 1.75 for Phoenix Sports. This points to a Harlow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Harlow
23%
Draws
31%
Phoenix Sports
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Harlow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Harlow picked up more points recently compared to Phoenix Sports.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Harlow Clean Sheet 12%
Phoenix Sports Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harlow Phoenix Sports
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 3 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2021 FA Trophy
Harlow vs Phoenix Sports
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harlow 44 / 100
Phoenix Sports 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harlow Phoenix Sports

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Harlow or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harlow attacking → ← attacking Phoenix Sports

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harlow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Phoenix Sports let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Harlow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Phoenix Sports lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 28
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38