Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Agoncillo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Haro Deportivo play Agoncillo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. It looks like a close match. Recently, Haro Deportivo averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Agoncillo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Haro Deportivo won 2, Agoncillo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Haro Deportivo and 1.38 for Agoncillo. This points to a Haro Deportivo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Haro Deportivo

24%

Draws

36%

Agoncillo

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Haro Deportivo picked up more points recently compared to Agoncillo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 17%

Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Haro Deportivo	Agoncillo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	12
Draws	9	6
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.57	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Haro Deportivo vs Agoncillo

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

2:2

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Haro Deportivo vs Agoncillo

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16

Agoncillo vs Haro Deportivo

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanz Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Urrecho Ruiz M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peso A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haro Deportivo 39 / 100

Agoncillo 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Haro Deportivo Agoncillo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Haro Deportivo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Haro Deportivo attacking → ← attacking Agoncillo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haro Deportivo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Agoncillo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Haro Deportivo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Agoncillo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 42

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Logrones B	34	26	8	0	99:22	86
2	Varea	34	22	7	5	51:25	73
3	Arnedo	34	21	9	4	72:26	72
4	CD Calahorra	34	17	12	5	86:26	63
5	Oyonesa	34	18	7	9	54:41	61
6	Anguiano	34	17	9	8	49:36	60
7	Haro Deportivo	34	14	9	11	54:46	51
8	Agoncillo	34	13	8	13	59:49	47
9	Vianes	34	11	9	14	39:51	42
10	Yague	34	9	13	12	48:52	40
11	San Marcial	34	10	9	15	39:59	39
12	Berceo	34	10	9	15	42:50	39
13	CDFC La Calzada	34	10	8	16	40:55	38
14	Comillas CF	34	11	5	18	32:58	38
15	Pradejon	34	9	8	17	30:49	35
16	Villegas	34	7	7	20	36:66	28
17	Autol	34	4	6	24	20:80	18
18	Pena Balsamaiso	34	0	11	23	27:86	11