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Haro Deportivo vs Casalarreina CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Haro Deportivo host Casalarreina CF in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Haro Deportivo have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Casalarreina CF's 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Haro Deportivo slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.03) point toward Haro Deportivo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Haro Deportivo
15%
Draws
16%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Haro Deportivo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Haro Deportivo a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haro Deportivo Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Casalarreina CF
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Haro Deportivo
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Casalarreina CF
0:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Haro Deportivo
3:2
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs Haro Deportivo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haro Deportivo 85 / 100
Casalarreina CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haro Deportivo Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Haro Deportivo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Haro Deportivo found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Haro Deportivo VS Casalarreina CF
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Haro Deportivo

(Home)
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1
Anguiano
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0
Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
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Casalarreina CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 Pradejon 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
7 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
8 Anguiano 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
9 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
10 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
11 Yague 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
12 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 6 1 1 4 6:15 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)