Sport Picks
Haro Deportivo vs Varea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
69'
69'
Cabrera G.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Zunzu
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Haro Deportivo and Varea finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Haro Deportivo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Varea carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Haro Deportivo's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Varea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%
Varea Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Haro Deportivo | Varea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Varea
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Haro Deportivo
3:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Haro Deportivo
8:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs Varea
0:3
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Varea vs Haro Deportivo
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Haro Deportivo Compare
Top Goalscorer Zunzu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Varea Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Haro Deportivo 77 / 100
Varea 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Haro Deportivo Varea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Haro Deportivo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Haro Deportivo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Haro Deportivo scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Varea conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Haro Deportivo VS Varea
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Haro Deportivo
(Home) 04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1 Anguiano
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0 Yague
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2 Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3 Calasancio
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1 Anguiano
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0 Yague
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3 Calasancio
14 Aug
Haro Deportivo
1 : 4 Naxara
09 Aug
Haro Deportivo
0 : 3 UD Logrones
Page 1 of 4
Varea
(Away) 04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1 Varea
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0 CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1 Varea
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0 San Marcial
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1 Varea
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Oyonesa
1 : 1 Varea
20 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 1 Varea
06 Sept
Cenicero
1 : 1 Varea
17 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Varea
03 May
Pradejon
0 : 1 Varea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
