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Harpia W vs America ES W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Capixaba Women
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AI Match Summary

The Capixaba Women game between Harpia W and America ES W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harpia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Harpia W
30%
Draws
16%
America ES W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harpia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Harpia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Harpia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Capixaba Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harpia W Clean Sheet 14%
America ES W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harpia W America ES W
Matches Played 20 6
Wins 8 0
Draws 1 2
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.4 4.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.48 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Capixaba Women
Harpia W vs America ES W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harpia W 84 / 100
America ES W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harpia W America ES W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harpia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: America ES W conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Harpia W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (20 games).

Recent resilience: Harpia W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harpia W VS America ES W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
63% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Harpia W

(Home)
03 Oct
Estadual W
3 : 0
Harpia W
27 Sept
Prosperidade W
3 : 1
Harpia W
13 Sept
Harpia W
1 : 1
Atletico Capixaba W
06 Sept
Estadual W
0 : 2
Harpia W
30 Aug
Harpia W
3 : 2
Vilavelhense W
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America ES W

(Away)
27 Sept
America ES W
1 : 4
Atletico Capixaba W
20 Sept
Estadual W
4 : 1
America ES W
13 Sept
America ES W
0 : 0
Vilavelhense W
06 Sept
MDE W
3 : 3
America ES W
23 Aug
America ES W
0 : 12
Prosperidade W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prosperidade W 6 6 0 0 40:1 18
2 Harpia W 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Estadual W 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
4 Atletico Capixaba W 6 2 3 1 10:11 9
5 MDE W 6 2 2 2 12:18 8
6 America ES W 6 0 2 4 6:29 2
7 Vilavelhense W 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Capixaba Women (Play Offs)