Sport Picks

Brazil

Capixaba Women 2024

Estadual W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Harpia W play Estadual W in the Capixaba Women 2024. Estadual W are favorites here. Recently, Harpia W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. Estadual W averaged 3.47 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Harpia W won 0, Estadual W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Harpia W and 2.88 for Estadual W. This points to a Estadual W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Harpia W

15%

Draws

59%

Estadual W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Harpia W picked up more points recently compared to Estadual W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Harpia W Clean Sheet 10%

Estadual W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Harpia W	Estadual W
Matches Played	13	19
Wins	5	14
Draws	0	0
Losses	8	5
Goals Scored	1.69	3.47
Goals Conceded	2.69	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Capixaba Women

Harpia W vs Estadual W

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Jul 7, 2024 Capixaba Women

Estadual W vs Harpia W

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Jun 16, 2024 Capixaba Women

Harpia W vs Estadual W

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harpia W 25 / 100

Estadual W 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Harpia W Estadual W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estadual W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Estadual W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8%

1.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harpia W attacking → ← attacking Estadual W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harpia W scored in 62% of their last 13 games.

Estadual W let in goals in 53% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Harpia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Estadual W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 42

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 3.38

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova ES W	6	6	0	27:3	18
2	Estadual W	6	4	2	21:8	12
3	Harpia W	6	2	4	11:18	6
4	G.E.L. W	6	0	6	2:32	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Prosperidade W	6	6	0	0	21:5	18
2	Guarapariense W	6	4	0	2	16:11	12
3	Rio Branco-VN W	6	1	1	4	9:17	4
4	Atletico Capixaba W	6	0	1	5	5:18	1