Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrach vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup
Harrach Logo

Harrach

Mon, Jan 12, 2026
2 - 3
04:00 PM
USM Alger Logo

USM Alger

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Loucif H.
19' Event
Bechou Y.
70' Event
Likonza G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Harrach
35%
Draws
18%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Harrach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Harrach have won more games recently than USM Alger.
  • Harrach are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Harrach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Harrach Clean Sheet 68%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrach USM Alger
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2026 Algeria Cup
Harrach vs USM Alger
2:3
Apr 15, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs Harrach
1:0
Feb 16, 2018 Ligue 1
Harrach vs USM Alger
0:0
Oct 24, 2017 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Harrach
2:0
May 7, 2017 Ligue 1
Harrach vs USM Alger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harrach Compare

Top Goalscorer Bechou Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chouki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Loucif H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Likonza G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrach 77 / 100
USM Alger 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrach USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrach scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Harrach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harrach VS USM Alger
1.67 Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrach

(Home)
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1
Saoura
16 May
Harrach
1 : 2
US Chaouia
08 May
Harrach
3 : 0
WA Mostaganem
01 May
GC Mascara
1 : 1
Harrach
25 Apr
Harrach
2 : 1
Kolea
Page 1 of 6

USM Alger

(Away)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1