Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Stead C.
13'
13'
Brenan T.
21'
21'
McCoulsky S.
AI Match Summary
Barnet in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barnet.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barnet lately — more wins on the board than Harrogate.
- 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 20%
Barnet Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 League Two
Harrogate vs Barnet
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 League Two
Barnet vs Harrogate
1:1
Mar 24, 2020 National League
Barnet vs Harrogate
0:0
Oct 29, 2019 National League
Harrogate vs Barnet
2:1
Mar 19, 2019 National League
Barnet vs Harrogate
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Barnet Compare
Top Goalscorer Stead C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chinedu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 31 / 100
Barnet 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Barnet
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Harrogate remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Harrogate's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Barnet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Barnet
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2 Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2 Doncaster
02 May
Harrogate
1 : 2 Barnet
18 Apr
Harrogate
1 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
Barnet
(Away) 18 Aug
Barnet
5 : 1 Arsenal U21
15 Aug
Barnet
3 : 1 Salford
08 Aug
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Barnet
01 Aug
Barnet
1 : 1 Bromley
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0 Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Barnet
11 Jul
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 2 Barnet
07 Jul
Hitchin
0 : 1 Barnet
02 May
Harrogate
1 : 2 Barnet
18 Apr
Notts County
1 : 2 Barnet
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
