Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harrogate vs Barrow

England England

National League Exercise Stadium, Harrogate
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harrogate host Barrow in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Harrogate at 1.25 goals for, 1.32 against; Barrow at 1.04 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor Harrogate slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.31, favoring Harrogate. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Harrogate
20%
Draws
35%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Barrow haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
  • Harrogate are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 18%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harrogate Barrow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 League Two
Barrow vs Harrogate
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 League Two
Harrogate vs Barrow
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Harrogate
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 League Two
Harrogate vs Barrow
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 League Two
Barrow vs Harrogate
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harrogate 58 / 100
Barrow 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harrogate Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harrogate went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Harrogate's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Barrow let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Harrogate VS Barrow
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Harrogate

(Home)
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2
Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2
Doncaster
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2
Harrogate
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1
Harrogate
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0
Barrow
01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1
Barrow
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 Sutton 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Hornchurch 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Southend 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Hartlepool 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Forest Green 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
7 Worthing FC 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
8 Eastleigh 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Aldershot 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Tamworth 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
11 Boreham Wood 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
12 Wealdstone 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
13 AFC Fylde 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
14 Scunthorpe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
15 Yeovil 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
17 Halifax 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
18 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
19 Boston United 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Altrincham 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
21 Barrow 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
22 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
23 Kidderminster 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
24 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)