Sport Picks
Match Events
15'
15'
Bristow E.
35'
35'
Heffernan C.
Own Goal
42'
42'
Hobson B.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Harrogate and Barrow finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barrow haven't matched Harrogate's recent run of results.
- 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 13%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Harrogate | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League
Harrogate vs Barrow
2:2
Feb 17, 2026 League Two
Barrow vs Harrogate
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 League Two
Harrogate vs Barrow
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Harrogate
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 League Two
Harrogate vs Barrow
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Bristow E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Heffernan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Barrow Compare
Top Goalscorer Cameron I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Harrogate 35 / 100
Barrow 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Harrogate Barrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Harrogate scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Barrow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Harrogate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Harrogate VS Barrow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Harrogate
(Home) 03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Harrogate
4 : 1 Eastleigh
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 3
Barrow
(Away) 03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1 Wealdstone
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2 Barrow
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1 Barrow
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
