Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harstad vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Varmedal-Haugan M.
19' Event
Reshane F.
31' Event
Gjerde T.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Harstad
20%
Draws
38%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Harstad.
  • Harstad are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 2.5 3
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
2:3
Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
4:3
May 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
2:0
Oct 6, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
1:1
Jul 28, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Varmedal-Haugan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjerde T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaminta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reshane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 40 / 100
Lillestrom 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lillestrom 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Harstad remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Lillestrom 2
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
27 Jun
Ulfstind
1 : 1
Harstad
21 Jun
Harstad
6 : 1
Kongsvinger 2
13 Jun
Stromsgodset 2
2 : 2
Harstad
30 May
Harstad
5 : 1
Bossekop
25 May
Skjetten
1 : 2
Harstad
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom 2

(Away)
28 Jun
Lillestrom 2
5 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Jun
Lillestrom 2
10 : 1
Ulfstind
14 Jun
Fauske Sprint
4 : 3
Lillestrom 2
30 May
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Alta
26 May
Stromsgodset 2
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
Page 1 of 7