Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harstad vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Varmedal-Haugan M.
19' Event
Reshane F.
31' Event
Gjerde T.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Harstad
15%
Draws
28%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harstad lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom 2.
  • Harstad are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.9 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
3:4
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
2:3
Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
4:3
May 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
2:0
Oct 6, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Varmedal-Haugan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gjerde T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaminta A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reshane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 56 / 100
Lillestrom 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lillestrom 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Harstad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Lillestrom 2
4.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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