Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Harstad vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Aronsen S.
80' Event
Evensen-Jensen A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Harstad and Tromso 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Harstad
15%
Draws
31%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Tromso 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Harstad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Harstad Clean Sheet 14%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harstad Tromso 2
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.86 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Tromso 2
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Harstad vs Tromso 2
0:4
Mar 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
2:5
Aug 21, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Aronsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evensen-Jensen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harstad 84 / 100
Tromso 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harstad Tromso 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harstad's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tromso 2 conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Harstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harstad VS Tromso 2
4.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harstad

(Home)
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Harstad
3 : 2
Floya
22 Aug
Harstad
0 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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Tromso 2

(Away)
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Skedsmo
3 : 1
Tromso 2
17 Aug
Bossekop
3 : 3
Tromso 2
08 Aug
Tromso 2
3 : 0
Alta
02 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
0 : 2
Tromso 2
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