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Hart Academy vs BST Galaxy

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hart Academy play BST Galaxy in the GFA League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hart Academy averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. BST Galaxy averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Hart Academy won 1, BST Galaxy won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 6, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Hart Academy and 1.44 for BST Galaxy. This points to a Hart Academy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hart Academy
35%
Draws
32%
BST Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hart Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Hart Academy picked up more points recently compared to BST Galaxy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 16%
BST Galaxy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hart Academy BST Galaxy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 GFA League
Hart Academy vs BST Galaxy
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs Hart Academy
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs BST Galaxy
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 GFA League
BST Galaxy vs Hart Academy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hart Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

BST Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarju L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hart Academy 33 / 100
BST Galaxy 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hart Academy BST Galaxy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hart Academy or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hart Academy attacking → ← attacking BST Galaxy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hart Academy scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

BST Galaxy let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Hart Academy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

BST Galaxy lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 39
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Medina United30166834:2554
2Fortune301411533:2153
3Gambia Ports301211726:1847
4Bombada301111836:3244
5Brikama United301110937:3343
6Real Banjul30914730:2541
7BST Galaxy30912929:3239
8Hart Academy309111036:3438
9Team Rhino309101126:2937
10Falcons30714919:2435
11Dutch Lions307131033:3334
12Greater Tomorrow308101225:3534
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15Samger306141023:2732
16Steve Biko305151024:2830