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Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga South game between Hartberg (Am) and Tillmitsch finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hartberg (Am)
35%
Draws
24%
Tillmitsch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hartberg (Am)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tillmitsch come out ahead of Hartberg (Am) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tillmitsch a 24% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Hartberg (Am) Clean Sheet 10%
Tillmitsch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg (Am) Tillmitsch
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.48 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Regionalliga South
Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch
2:2
May 5, 2026 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Steiermark
Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch
5:0
May 30, 2025 Steiermark
Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 Steiermark
Tillmitsch vs Hartberg (Am)
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg (Am) 10 / 100
Tillmitsch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg (Am) Tillmitsch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tillmitsch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartberg (Am) found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tillmitsch has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hartberg (Am) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg (Am) VS Tillmitsch
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg (Am)

(Home)
02 Oct
Lafnitz
3 : 3
Hartberg (Am)
26 Sept
Hartberg (Am)
4 : 1
Gleisdorf
19 Sept
Hartberg (Am)
2 : 2
Tillmitsch
11 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
3 : 0
Hartberg (Am)
04 Sept
SC Weiz
2 : 1
Hartberg (Am)
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Tillmitsch

(Away)
02 Oct
Gleisdorf
0 : 0
Tillmitsch
26 Sept
SC Kalsdorf
2 : 1
Tillmitsch
19 Sept
Hartberg (Am)
2 : 2
Tillmitsch
11 Sept
Tillmitsch
2 : 2
SC Weiz
04 Sept
Allerheiligen
5 : 2
Tillmitsch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deutschlandsberger Wonisch 9 5 3 1 18:11 18
2 SC Kalsdorf 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
3 SC Weiz 9 3 5 1 15:10 14
4 Lafnitz 9 3 4 2 19:19 13
5 Allerheiligen 9 3 3 3 19:16 12
6 Tillmitsch 9 2 4 3 14:16 10
7 Hartberg (Am) 9 1 3 5 13:22 6
8 Gleisdorf 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Regionalliga South (Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga South (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atus Velden 10 6 4 0 18:8 22
2 A. Klagenfurt 10 6 1 3 18:14 19
3 Volkermarkt 10 5 2 3 20:10 17
4 Treibach 10 5 2 3 18:11 17
5 Wolfsberger AC (Am) 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
6 Bleiburg 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
7 ATSV Wolfsberger 10 1 4 5 7:24 7
8 Donau Klagenfurt 10 0 3 7 8:20 3
Promotion - Regionalliga South (Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga South (Relegation)