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Hartberg vs A. Lustenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Stadion Hartberg, Hartberg
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hartberg host A. Lustenau in the Bundesliga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. A. Lustenau have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while Hartberg have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Hartberg have won 2 to A. Lustenau's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 29, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.69) back A. Lustenau to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hartberg
20%
Draws
36%
A. Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hartberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Lustenau lately — more wins on the board than Hartberg.
  • Win probability leans Hartberg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Hartberg Clean Sheet 13%
A. Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartberg A. Lustenau
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.68 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 OFB Cup
A. Lustenau vs Hartberg
0:3
Oct 29, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Hartberg
0:4
Jul 29, 2023 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs A. Lustenau
2:2
Jun 2, 2023 Bundesliga
A. Lustenau vs Hartberg
5:1
Mar 31, 2023 Bundesliga
Hartberg vs A. Lustenau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartberg 57 / 100
A. Lustenau 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartberg A. Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hartberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hartberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Hartberg scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: A. Lustenau conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hartberg VS A. Lustenau
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartberg

(Home)
24 Sept
Hartberg
5 : 0
Kapfenberg
20 Sept
Hartberg
3 : 3
LASK Linz
13 Sept
Tirol
2 : 2
Hartberg
06 Sept
Vorwarts Steyr
0 : 4
Hartberg
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
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A. Lustenau

(Away)
03 Oct
A. Lustenau
0 : 1
Schalke
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
A. Lustenau
2 : 0
Altach
13 Sept
Austria Vienna
2 : 1
A. Lustenau
05 Sept
Lafnitz
2 : 6
A. Lustenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rapid Vienna 7 6 0 1 21:7 18
2 Salzburg 7 5 2 0 18:4 17
3 LASK Linz 7 5 1 1 19:7 16
4 Sturm Graz 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
5 Ried 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
6 Hartberg 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
7 Tirol 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
8 A. Lustenau 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
9 Grazer AK 7 2 2 3 6:16 8
10 Austria Vienna 7 2 1 4 7:13 7
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
12 Altach 7 1 0 6 5:12 3
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation Group)