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Hartlepool vs Barrow

England England

National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Smith S.
33'
Miley J.
39' Event
Harris W.

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
37%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Barrow haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Barrow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Barrow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Barrow
2:0
Apr 29, 2023 League Two
Hartlepool vs Barrow
3:1
Nov 19, 2022 League Two
Barrow vs Hartlepool
3:1
Feb 8, 2022 League Two
Hartlepool vs Barrow
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 League Two
Barrow vs Hartlepool
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nolan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Barrow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 10 / 100
Barrow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Barrow has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Hartlepool has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Barrow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10
Middlesbrough U21
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0
Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
15 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Hornchurch
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0
Barrow
01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1
Barrow
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harrogate 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Hornchurch 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Sutton 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Southend 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
5 Hartlepool 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
6 Forest Green 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
7 Boreham Wood 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
8 AFC Fylde 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
9 Gateshead 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
10 Boston United 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Worthing FC 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
12 Eastleigh 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Aldershot 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Kidderminster 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
15 Yeovil 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
16 Tamworth 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
17 Carlisle 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
18 Scunthorpe 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
19 Wealdstone 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
20 Halifax 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
21 Altrincham 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
22 Barrow 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
23 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
24 Woking 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
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