Sport Picks
Hartlepool vs Barrow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Victoria Park, Hartlepool 
Match Events
33'
33'
Smith S.
33'
33'
Miley J.
39'
39'
Harris W.
AI Match Summary
Hartlepool in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Barrow at 1.46 per game, Hartlepool at 1.1.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 11%
Barrow Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hartlepool | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Barrow
2:0
Apr 29, 2023 League Two
Hartlepool vs Barrow
3:1
Nov 19, 2022 League Two
Barrow vs Hartlepool
3:1
Feb 8, 2022 League Two
Hartlepool vs Barrow
3:1
Aug 14, 2021 League Two
Barrow vs Hartlepool
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nolan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Barrow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hartlepool 10 / 100
Barrow 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hartlepool Barrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Barrow has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Attacking prowess: Hartlepool scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Difficult form: Barrow registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hartlepool VS Barrow
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hartlepool
(Home) 03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Harrogate
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3 Worthing FC
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Woking
Page 1 of 3
Barrow
(Away) 03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1 Wealdstone
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2 Barrow
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1 Barrow
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
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