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Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
McKeown C.

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Hartlepool
15%
Draws
85%
Fleetwood Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fleetwood Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fleetwood Town haven't matched Hartlepool's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Fleetwood Town taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 17%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hartlepool Fleetwood Town
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town
1:0
Aug 11, 2015 EFL Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Hartlepool
0:1
Jan 18, 2014 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Hartlepool
2:0
Aug 24, 2013 League Two
Hartlepool vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Nov 29, 2008 FA Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Hartlepool
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fleetwood Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hartlepool 28 / 100
Fleetwood Town 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hartlepool Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fleetwood Town's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Hartlepool's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hartlepool VS Fleetwood Town
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hartlepool

(Home)
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
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Fleetwood Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1
Barnsley
03 Oct
Salford
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
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