Sport Picks
Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa
Morocco
Coupe du Trone 
Match Events
12'
12'
Bello Ilou B.
26'
26'
Ouchen B.
30'
30'
Abekiri A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-2, with Hassania Agadir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hassania Agadir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hassania Agadir come out ahead of Mostakbal El Marsa on wins alone.
- Hassania Agadir are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Hassania Agadir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hassania Agadir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Hassania Agadir Clean Sheet 11%
Mostakbal El Marsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hassania Agadir | Mostakbal El Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 1 |
| Wins | 9 | 0 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Coupe du Trone
Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hassania Agadir Compare
Top Goalscorer Bello Ilou B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bakhkhach M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Mostakbal El Marsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouchen B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Abekiri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hassania Agadir 35 / 100
Mostakbal El Marsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hassania Agadir Mostakbal El Marsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mostakbal El Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Hassania Agadir's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Hassania Agadir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hassania Agadir VS Mostakbal El Marsa
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Hassania Agadir
(Home) 05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1 Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0 Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1 Renaissance Zemamra
25 Jun
COD Meknes
0 : 0 Hassania Agadir
21 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 0 Union Touarga
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05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1 Kawkab Marrakech
28 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1 Renaissance Zemamra
21 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 0 Union Touarga
14 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 0 Berkane
04 Jun
Hassania Agadir
0 : 0 FUS Rabat
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Mostakbal El Marsa
(Away) 16 May
Hassania Agadir
3 : 2 Mostakbal El Marsa
16 May
Hassania Agadir
3 : 2 Mostakbal El Marsa
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini1
Renaissance Zemamra2
Amal Tiznit0
Difaa El Jadidi3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra0
COD Meknes2
Moghreb Tetouan1
FATH Casablanca0
Olympique de Safi3
Dcheira0
Yacoub El Mansour1
Maghreb Fez0
Hassania Agadir3
Mostakbal El Marsa2
Raja Casablanca2
Jeunesse Massira0
KAC Kenitra1
IR Tanger2
Berkane3
Wydad Fes1
Kawkab Marrakech3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem1
Rachad Bernoussi0
FUS Rabat4
Union Touarga1
Fath Nador0
Chabab Mohammedia0
Chabab Benguerir3
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain1
Raja Beni Mellal0
Wydad Athletic2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra-
Difaa El Jadidi-
COD Meknes-
Moghreb Tetouan-
Olympique de Safi-
Yacoub El Mansour-
Hassania Agadir-
Raja Casablanca-
IR Tanger-
Berkane-
Kawkab Marrakech-
FUS Rabat-
Union Touarga-
Chabab Benguerir-
FAR Rabat-
Wydad Athletic-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-