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Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
Hassania Agadir Logo

Hassania Agadir

Sat, May 16, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Mostakbal El Marsa Logo

Mostakbal El Marsa

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bello Ilou B.
26' Event
Ouchen B.
30' Event
Abekiri A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hassania Agadir
25%
Draws
35%
Mostakbal El Marsa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hassania Agadir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hassania Agadir come out ahead of Mostakbal El Marsa on wins alone.
  • Hassania Agadir are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Hassania Agadir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hassania Agadir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hassania Agadir Clean Sheet 10%
Mostakbal El Marsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hassania Agadir Mostakbal El Marsa
Matches Played 30 1
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.1 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Coupe du Trone
Hassania Agadir vs Mostakbal El Marsa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hassania Agadir Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello Ilou B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakhkhach M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Mostakbal El Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouchen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abekiri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hassania Agadir 34 / 100
Mostakbal El Marsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hassania Agadir Mostakbal El Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mostakbal El Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Hassania Agadir's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hassania Agadir has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hassania Agadir VS Mostakbal El Marsa
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Hassania Agadir

(Home)
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Kawkab Marrakech
2 : 3
Hassania Agadir
05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

Mostakbal El Marsa

(Away)
16 May
Hassania Agadir
3 : 2
Mostakbal El Marsa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini 1
Renaissance Zemamra 2
Amal Tiznit 0
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0
COD Meknes 2
Moghreb Tetouan 1
FATH Casablanca 0
Olympique de Safi 3
Dcheira 0
Yacoub El Mansour 1
Maghreb Fez 0
Hassania Agadir 3
Mostakbal El Marsa 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Jeunesse Massira 0
KAC Kenitra 1
IR Tanger 2
Berkane 3
Wydad Fes 1
Kawkab Marrakech 3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Rachad Bernoussi 0
FUS Rabat 4
Union Touarga 1
Fath Nador 0
Chabab Mohammedia 0
Chabab Benguerir 3
FAR Rabat 2
Stade Marocain 1
Raja Beni Mellal 0
Wydad Athletic 2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra -
Difaa El Jadidi -
COD Meknes -
Moghreb Tetouan -
Olympique de Safi -
Yacoub El Mansour -
Hassania Agadir -
Raja Casablanca -
IR Tanger -
Berkane -
Kawkab Marrakech -
FUS Rabat -
Union Touarga -
Chabab Benguerir -
FAR Rabat -
Wydad Athletic -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -