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Hasselt vs Cercle Brugge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Belgian Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hasselt have averaged 1.96 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Cercle Brugge's 1.5 scored and 1.86 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back Hasselt to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Hasselt
15%
Draws
12%
Cercle Brugge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Hasselt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hasselt a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Hasselt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 20%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hasselt Cercle Brugge
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.96 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hasselt 58 / 100
Cercle Brugge 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hasselt Cercle Brugge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hasselt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Hasselt found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Difficult form: Cercle Brugge registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hasselt has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hasselt VS Cercle Brugge
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hasselt

(Home)
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
19 Sept
Hasselt
0 : 1
Beerschot VA
12 Sept
RFC Seraing
1 : 2
Hasselt
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
Page 1 of 6

Cercle Brugge

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Diksmuide Oostende 0
Lommel SK 2
Westerlo -
TBD -
SK Roeselare 1
Patro Eisden 2
Crossing Schaerbeek 3
Beerschot VA 5
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Heist 3
Kortrijk 2
TBD -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
TBD -
Knokke 2
RFC Seraing 5
Club Brugge -
TBD -
Houtvenne 0
Sporting Lokeren 5
KV Mechelen -
TBD -
Merelbeke 0
Eupen 1
Union Rochefortoise 3
Lierse SK 2
TBD -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
TBD -
OC Charleroi 1
Habay La Neuve 2
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
Nijlen 3
Boom 1
Oostkamp 0
Virton 3
TBD -
Genk -
Londerzeel 0
Renaissance Mons 4
TBD -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
TBD -
RFC Liege 4
Wellen 1
St. Liege -
TBD -
Hoogstraten 0
Dender 6
Leuven -
TBD -
Diegem 0
Francs Borains 1
Mandel United 1
Hasselt 3
TBD -
Cercle Brugge -
1/16-finals
St. Truiden -
Lommel SK -
Westerlo -
Patro Eisden -
Beerschot VA -
Anderlecht -
Heist -
Antwerp -
Waregem -
RFC Seraing -
Club Brugge -
Sporting Lokeren -
KV Mechelen -
Eupen -
Union Rochefortoise -
Gent -
SK Beveren -
Habay La Neuve -
Royale Union SG -
Nijlen -
Virton -
Genk -
Renaissance Mons -
Charleroi -
RAAL La Louviere -
RFC Liege -
St. Liege -
Dender -
Leuven -
Francs Borains -
Hasselt -
Cercle Brugge -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -