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Hasselt vs Knokke

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Thiam C.
24' Event
Matoka A.
68' Event
Verburgh N.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Hasselt and Knokke finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hasselt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hasselt
15%
Draws
34%
Knokke
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Knokke come out ahead of Hasselt on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 20%
Knokke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hasselt Knokke
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.16 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Knokke
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Knokke vs Hasselt
2:6
Jan 18, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Knokke
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Knokke vs Hasselt
2:2
Aug 17, 2014 Belgian Cup
Knokke vs Hasselt
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiam C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matoka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.08

Knokke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hasselt 32 / 100
Knokke 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hasselt Knokke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hasselt found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Knokke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Hasselt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hasselt VS Knokke
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Hasselt

(Home)
12 Sept
RFC Seraing
1 : 2
Hasselt
05 Sept
Genk U23
3 : 0
Hasselt
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
23 Aug
Francs Borains
0 : 1
Hasselt
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
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Knokke

(Away)
13 Sept
Cercle Brugge 2
2 : 1
Knokke
05 Sept
Thes Sport
2 : 0
Knokke
30 Aug
Knokke
3 : 0
Heist
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
02 Aug
Petegem
3 : 0
Knokke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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