Sport Picks

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Hasselt vs Tienen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Valcke S.
40' Event
Jourquin J.
41' Event
Bounou M.

AI Match Summary

Hasselt in this National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hasselt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Hasselt
30%
Draws
9%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hasselt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hasselt lately — more wins on the board than Tienen.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Hasselt taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Hasselt Clean Sheet 68%
Tienen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hasselt Tienen
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 21 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.74 1.26
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Tienen
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Hasselt
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Hasselt vs Tienen
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Hasselt
2:1
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Tienen vs Hasselt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hasselt Compare

Top Goalscorer Valcke S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jourquin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Tienen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hasselt 95 / 100
Tienen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hasselt Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hasselt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hasselt scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: Hasselt stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tienen let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hasselt VS Tienen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.43
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Hasselt

(Home)
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Hasselt
4 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
04 Aug
ASV Geel
1 : 1
Hasselt
01 Aug
Eendracht Aalst
1 : 4
Hasselt
25 Jul
KSK Tongeren
0 : 10
Hasselt
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Tienen

(Away)
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
19 Apr
Knokke
2 : 0
Tienen
12 Apr
Tienen
1 : 3
Dessel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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