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Hatayspor vs Elazigspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Soy E.
(Penalty)
71'
Abdulkadir A.
73' Event
Ornek M.
Assist: Yavuz H.

AI Match Summary

Hatayspor host Elazigspor in the 2. Lig White Group. This has Elazigspor written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Hatayspor at 0.75 goals for, 2.36 against; Elazigspor at 2.17 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Hatayspor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2019, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.81) point toward Elazigspor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hatayspor
20%
Draws
57%
Elazigspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elazigspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elazigspor come out ahead of Hatayspor on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Elazigspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 11%
Elazigspor Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hatayspor Elazigspor
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.75 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.36 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2019 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Elazigspor
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 1. Lig
Elazigspor vs Hatayspor
0:1
Apr 21, 2002 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Elazigspor
0:0
Nov 11, 2001 1. Lig
Elazigspor vs Hatayspor
3:1
Apr 7, 2001 1. Lig
Elazigspor vs Hatayspor
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Elazigspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ornek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hatayspor 18 / 100
Elazigspor 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hatayspor Elazigspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elazigspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hatayspor scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Elazigspor conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Hatayspor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hatayspor VS Elazigspor
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hatayspor

(Home)
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
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Elazigspor

(Away)
04 Oct
Elazigspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
27 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
0 : 0
Elazigspor
19 Sept
Elazigspor
5 : 0
Aliaga
12 Sept
Adanademirspor
0 : 2
Elazigspor
06 Sept
Elazigspor
3 : 1
Sebat Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
5 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
11 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)