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Stadium Background

Haugesund vs Sogndal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Haugesund Stadion, Haugesund
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Camara I.
Assist: Nilsen S.
57'
Sub
Vapne L. In: Hillestad E. L.
Out: Vapne L.
67' Event
Norbye J.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Haugesund and Sogndal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haugesund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Haugesund
15%
Draws
18%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haugesund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Sogndal haven't matched Haugesund's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Haugesund a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Haugesund Clean Sheet 13%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haugesund Sogndal
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 3 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Haugesund vs Sogndal
2:0
May 10, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Haugesund
5:1
Mar 12, 2020 Club Friendly
Sogndal vs Haugesund
0:0
Sep 17, 2017 Eliteserien
Sogndal vs Haugesund
0:1
May 7, 2017 Eliteserien
Haugesund vs Sogndal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haugesund Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norbye J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sogndal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haugesund 84 / 100
Sogndal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haugesund Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haugesund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haugesund found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Sogndal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Haugesund stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Haugesund VS Sogndal
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haugesund

(Home)
03 Oct
Haugesund
2 : 0
Stabaek
20 Sept
Haugesund
4 : 2
Strommen
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
08 Sept
Djerv 1919
0 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
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Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)