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Haukar vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ingason J.
25' Event
Barddal J.
77' Event
Halldorsson M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Haukar and Throttur Vogar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haukar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Haukar
6%
Draws
4%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Haukar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haukar come out ahead of Throttur Vogar on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Haukar taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Throttur Vogar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Haukar Clean Sheet 17%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haukar Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
2:1
May 1, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Division 2
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Haukar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haukar Compare

Top Goalscorer Barddal J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Halldorsson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haukar 84 / 100
Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haukar Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haukar's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Throttur Vogar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Haukar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Haukar VS Throttur Vogar
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haukar1392235:1729
2Selfoss1365227:2423
3Kari1356236:2321
4Kormakur/Hvot1355329:1520
5Dalvik/Reynir1362523:2220
6Fjolnir1353532:2818
7Olafsvik1353518:2318
8KFA1342729:2514
9Magni1342723:4014
10Throttur Vogar1341821:2613
11Hviti1327417:2313
12KFG Gardabaer1340918:4212