Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium

Havadar SC

0 - 1

Kara Gostar Shabestar

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Najafi A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kara Gostar Shabestar in this Azadegan League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kara Gostar Shabestar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Havadar SC

39%

Draws

31%

Kara Gostar Shabestar

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Kara Gostar Shabestar have won more games recently than Havadar SC.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Havadar SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Havadar SC Clean Sheet 20%

Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Havadar SC	Kara Gostar Shabestar
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	15	9
Losses	7	12
Goals Scored	1.25	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Azadegan League

Havadar SC vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Aug 28, 2025 Azadegan League

Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Havadar SC

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

Apr 26, 2024 Hazfi Cup

Havadar SC vs Kara Gostar Shabestar

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havadar SC 31 / 100

Kara Gostar Shabestar 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Havadar SC Kara Gostar Shabestar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Havadar SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Havadar SC scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Kara Gostar Shabestar let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Havadar SC VS Kara Gostar Shabestar

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	34	20	9	5	48:17	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	34	19	11	4	41:14	68
3	Sanat Naft	34	16	12	6	37:21	60
4	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	16	12	6	44:22	60
5	Saipa	34	16	11	7	30:18	59
6	Havadar SC	34	11	17	6	32:23	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	34	10	17	7	26:19	47
8	Fard	34	10	16	8	24:15	46
9	Mes Kerman	34	10	15	9	23:18	45
10	Ario Eslamshahr	34	9	16	9	19:18	43
11	Besat Kermanshah	34	9	11	14	25:32	38
12	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	9	10	15	17:34	37
13	Niroye Zamini	34	8	12	14	28:31	36
14	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	34	8	11	15	23:36	35
15	Naft Gachsaran	34	7	14	13	25:41	35
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	34	5	15	14	18:29	30
17	Navad Urmia	34	4	12	18	16:48	24
18	Damash Gilan	34	2	13	19	16:56	19