Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium

Naft Bandar Abbas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Havadar SC play Naft Bandar Abbas in the Azadegan League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Havadar SC averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Naft Bandar Abbas averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.52 conceded. In past meetings, Havadar SC won 1, Naft Bandar Abbas won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Havadar SC and 0.44 for Naft Bandar Abbas. This points to a Havadar SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Havadar SC

35%

Draws

32%

Naft Bandar Abbas

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Havadar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Havadar SC picked up more points recently compared to Naft Bandar Abbas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Havadar SC Clean Sheet 31%

Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 45%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Havadar SC	Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	9
Draws	15	16
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	1.03	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Azadegan League

Havadar SC vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sep 18, 2025 Azadegan League

Naft Bandar Abbas vs Havadar SC

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havadar SC 36 / 100

Naft Bandar Abbas 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Havadar SC Naft Bandar Abbas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Havadar SC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +37.5%

6.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Havadar SC attacking → ← attacking Naft Bandar Abbas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havadar SC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Havadar SC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 43

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mazandaran	33	20	9	4	47:15	69
2	Mes Shahr Babak	33	18	11	4	39:14	65
3	Pars Janoobi Jam	33	15	12	6	42:21	57
4	Sanat Naft	33	15	12	6	35:21	57
5	Saipa	33	15	11	7	29:18	56
6	Havadar SC	33	11	17	5	32:20	50
7	Naft Bandar Abbas	33	10	17	6	26:18	47
8	Fard	33	10	15	8	24:15	45
9	Mes Kerman	33	9	15	9	20:18	42
10	Ario Eslamshahr	33	8	16	9	17:17	40
11	Besat Kermanshah	33	9	11	13	24:30	38
12	Niroye Zamini	33	8	12	13	28:29	36
13	Naft Gachsaran	33	7	14	12	25:39	35
14	Kara Gostar Shabestar	33	8	10	15	16:34	34
15	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	33	7	11	15	20:36	32
16	Shahrdari Noshahr	33	5	15	13	18:28	30
17	Navad Urmia	33	4	12	17	16:45	24
18	Damash Gilan	33	2	12	19	16:56	18