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Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville host Basingstoke in the Southern League Premier South. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Havant & Waterlooville have averaged 1.41 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Basingstoke's 1.63 scored and 1.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Havant & Waterlooville slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Basingstoke to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Havant & Waterlooville
30%
Draws
58%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basingstoke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basingstoke come out ahead of Havant & Waterlooville on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Basingstoke taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 16%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Basingstoke
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:3
Nov 30, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Basingstoke
5:1
Mar 12, 2016 National League South
Basingstoke vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 23 / 100
Basingstoke 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Havant & Waterlooville found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Havant & Waterlooville remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Basingstoke
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1
Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
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