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Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Seager R.
90'
Davies J.

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Havant & Waterlooville
35%
Draws
56%
Frome Town
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Frome Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frome Town lately — more wins on the board than Havant & Waterlooville.
  • Frome Town are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Havant & Waterlooville here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Frome Town
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Town
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Frome Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Town
5:0
Sep 25, 2010 FA Cup
Havant & Waterlooville vs Frome Town
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Seager R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Frome Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 26 / 100
Frome Town 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Frome Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frome Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Frome Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Havant & Waterlooville remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Frome Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

Frome Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Frome Town
1 : 1
Sholing
03 Oct
Yate
3 : 3
Frome Town
30 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Taunton Town
26 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 1
Willand Rovers
22 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
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