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Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Cross L.
40' Event
McCallum P.
50' Event
McCallum P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Havant & Waterlooville
20%
Draws
73%
Gloucester City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gloucester City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville haven't matched Gloucester City's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Gloucester City taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 11%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Gloucester City
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City
3:3
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gloucester City
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer McCallum P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maloney L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gloucester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cross L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanks J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 18 / 100
Gloucester City 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Gloucester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Havant & Waterlooville found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Gloucester City conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Solid form: Havant & Waterlooville remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Gloucester City
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

Gloucester City

(Away)
10 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 3
Gloucester City
03 Oct
Mulbarton Wanderers
1 : 2
Gloucester City
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Gloucester City
4 : 0
Stafford
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
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