Sport Picks
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Whittingham A.
49'
49'
Whittingham A.
82'
82'
Whittingham A.
AI Match Summary
Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Havant & Waterlooville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Havant & Waterlooville lately — more wins on the board than Gosport Borough.
- Win probability leans Havant & Waterlooville's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Havant & Waterlooville have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 19%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Havant & Waterlooville | Gosport Borough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
4:0
Dec 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:4
Apr 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
3:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Havant & Waterlooville Compare
Top Goalscorer Whittingham A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Seager R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Gosport Borough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Havant & Waterlooville 85 / 100
Gosport Borough 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Havant & Waterlooville Gosport Borough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gosport Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Havant & Waterlooville's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Havant & Waterlooville has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Havant & Waterlooville VS Gosport Borough
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Havant & Waterlooville
(Home) 25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Yate
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0 Havant & Waterlooville
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3 Havant & Waterlooville
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0 Gosport Borough
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2 Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Yate
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0 Gosport Borough
28 Mar
Havant & Waterlooville
6 : 1 Evesham
21 Mar
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Berkhamsted Town
07 Mar
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 4
Gosport Borough
(Away) 25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6 Plymouth Parkway
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Gosport Borough
18 Apr
Evesham
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
11 Apr
Gosport Borough
0 : 2 Yate
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0 Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 6
21 Apr
Tiverton
2 : 3 Gosport Borough
18 Apr
Evesham
1 : 3 Gosport Borough
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0 Gosport Borough
28 Mar
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 1 Gosport Borough
14 Mar
Bracknell Town
0 : 2 Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)