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Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Whittingham A.
49' Event
Whittingham A.
82' Event
Whittingham A.

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Havant & Waterlooville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Havant & Waterlooville
30%
Draws
62%
Gosport Borough
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gosport Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gosport Borough lately — more wins on the board than Havant & Waterlooville.
  • Win probability leans Gosport Borough's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Havant & Waterlooville have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Gosport Borough
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
4:0
Dec 26, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville
0:4
Apr 21, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
3:1
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Havant & Waterlooville vs Gosport Borough
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittingham A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Seager R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gosport Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 26 / 100
Gosport Borough 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Gosport Borough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gosport Borough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Havant & Waterlooville's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Havant & Waterlooville has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Gosport Borough
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Chippenham Town
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Gosport Borough

(Away)
30 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 1
Bracknell Town
26 Sept
Tiverton
1 : 3
Gosport Borough
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)