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Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanworth Villa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Havant & Waterlooville host Hanworth Villa in the Southern League Premier South. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Havant & Waterlooville have averaged 1.41 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Hanworth Villa's 1.93 scored and 1.64 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 2.50) point toward Hanworth Villa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Havant & Waterlooville
15%
Draws
76%
Hanworth Villa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Hanworth Villa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Havant & Waterlooville Hanworth Villa
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Havant & Waterlooville 34 / 100
Hanworth Villa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Havant & Waterlooville Hanworth Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Havant & Waterlooville's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Hanworth Villa has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Havant & Waterlooville has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Hanworth Villa has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Havant & Waterlooville VS Hanworth Villa
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Havant & Waterlooville

(Home)
10 Oct
Wimborne
6 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
29 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 1
Hanwell Town
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
19 Sept
Bracknell Town
2 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

Hanworth Villa

(Away)
10 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 3
Gloucester City
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)