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Haverfordwest vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Billington S. In: Dogan T.
Out: Billington S.
26' Event
Kenniford K.
30' Event
Shephard C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Haverfordwest and Bala finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
42%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haverfordwest come out ahead of Bala on wins alone.
  • Model gives Haverfordwest a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Premier 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 68%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Bala
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Haverfordwest
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Bala
3:0
Dec 5, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Oct 10, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Bala
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Cymru Premier
Bala vs Haverfordwest
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Shephard C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kenniford K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bala Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 77 / 100
Bala 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Haverfordwest scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Haverfordwest stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Bala
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0
Haverfordwest
01 Aug
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
21 Jul
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Caerau Ely
18 Jul
Gloucester City
0 : 1
Haverfordwest
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Bala

(Away)
07 Aug
Bala
2 : 1
Ruthin Town
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2
Bala
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4
Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Haverfordwest 32 14 6 12 48:43 48
8 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 45
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 32 8 14 10 43:51 38
10 Flint Town 32 8 11 13 48:59 35
11 Bala 32 8 8 16 33:45 32
12 Llanelli 32 3 4 25 17:82 13
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)