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Haverfordwest vs Caerleon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013 Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Haverfordwest and Caerleon finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
28%
Caerleon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haverfordwest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerleon haven't matched Haverfordwest's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Haverfordwest taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 20%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Caerleon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.52 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2012 Division 1
Haverfordwest vs Caerleon
4:0
Sep 29, 2012 Division 1
Caerleon vs Haverfordwest
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 85 / 100
Caerleon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Caerleon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haverfordwest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caerleon let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Away concern: Caerleon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
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Caerleon

(Away)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
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