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Stadium Background

Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier 2025/2026 Bridge Meadow Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Makwiramiti P.
27'
Sub
Rees L. In: Morris J.
Out: Rees L.
39'
Sub
Evans E. In: Soady B.
Out: Evans E.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier 2025/2026 game between Haverfordwest and Cardiff Metropolitan University finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Haverfordwest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Haverfordwest
33%
Draws
40%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Haverfordwest come out ahead of Cardiff Metropolitan University on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cardiff Metropolitan University a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 21%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Jan 23, 2026 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
0:2
Dec 30, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:2
Apr 11, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Haverfordwest
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 29 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Cardiff Metropolitan University

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Metropolitan University let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Haverfordwest scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Haverfordwest321461248:4348
8Briton Ferry321291146:4745
9Cardiff Metropolitan University328141043:5138
10Flint Town328111348:5935
11Bala32881633:4532
12Llanelli32342517:8213