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Haverfordwest vs Penybont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Bridge Meadow Stadium, Haverfordwest
Haverfordwest Logo

Haverfordwest

0 - 3
FT
Penybont Logo

Penybont

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Melbourne M.
45' Event
Wood N.
53'
Green C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penybont in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penybont.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Haverfordwest
15%
Draws
68%
Penybont
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penybont

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Haverfordwest have won more games recently than Penybont.
  • Penybont are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Penybont here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 15%
Penybont Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Haverfordwest Penybont
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Penybont
0:3
May 2, 2026 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Haverfordwest
2:0
Oct 7, 2025 Cymru Premier
Penybont vs Haverfordwest
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Penybont
0:1
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Penybont
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Haverfordwest Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Penybont Compare

Top Goalscorer Melbourne M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wood N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Haverfordwest 10 / 100
Penybont 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Haverfordwest Penybont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penybont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Haverfordwest scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Penybont conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Haverfordwest VS Penybont
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Haverfordwest

(Home)
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

Penybont

(Away)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
26 Sept
Penybont
2 : 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Sept
Ammanford Town
1 : 5
Penybont
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 13 12 1 0 44:6 37
2 Connahs Q. 13 10 1 2 30:9 31
3 Penybont 13 9 3 1 25:11 30
4 Caernarfon 13 8 2 3 37:15 26
5 Barry Town 13 8 1 4 28:23 25
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 13 6 3 4 24:16 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 13 7 0 6 25:18 21
9 Cambrian United 13 5 3 5 21:33 18
10 Llandudno FC 13 5 1 7 22:23 16
11 Briton Ferry 13 3 3 7 12:22 12
12 Haverfordwest 13 3 1 9 8:19 10
13 Ammanford Town 13 2 3 8 10:32 9
14 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
15 Trefelin 13 1 3 9 8:31 6
16 Holywell Town FC 13 0 2 11 14:44 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)