Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arba Menche
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hawassa lately — more wins on the board than Arba Menche.
- Hawassa are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Arba Menche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Arba Menche
0:0
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Hawassa
0:0
May 12, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Hawassa
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Arba Menche
0:1
Jul 6, 2023 Premier League
Hawassa vs Arba Menche
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 50 / 100
Arba Menche 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Arba Menche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hawassa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawassa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Arba Menche let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Hawassa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Arba Menche lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Arba Menche
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
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02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
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Arba Menche
(Away) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
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01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
05 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 2 Arba Menche
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
