Sport Picks
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
10'
10'
Yared B.
10'
10'
Yared B.
61'
61'
Bereket S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Hawassa and Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hawassa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) come out ahead of Hawassa on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 23%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
3:1
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 33 / 100
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hawassa scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Hawassa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
04 May
Hawassa
1 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 4
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Away) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
05 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)