Sport Picks
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
5'
5'
Kebede G.
84'
84'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ethiopia Nigd Bank lately — more wins on the board than Hawassa.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawassa | Ethiopia Nigd Bank |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa
4:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Feb 5, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawassa Compare
Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hawassa 32 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hawassa Ethiopia Nigd Bank
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawassa's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ethiopia Nigd Bank conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Hawassa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hawassa VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hawassa
(Home) 17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Hawassa
0 : 1 Mechal SC
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1 Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Hawassa
0 : 1 Mechal SC
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3 Adama City
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 3
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Away) 18 Oct
Mechal SC
0 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Mechal SC
0 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
19 May
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Halaba Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Ethiopian Insurance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Adama City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Sheger Ketema FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Mechal SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 12 | Fasil Kenema | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | St. Georges | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Hawassa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hadiya Hossana | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 17 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
