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Hawassa vs Gamo Chencha FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hawassa host Gamo Chencha FC in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gamo Chencha FC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Hawassa have conceded 0.89 and scored 0.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 0.81) point toward Gamo Chencha FC. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hawassa
25%
Draws
35%
Gamo Chencha FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hawassa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Hawassa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hawassa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 20%
Gamo Chencha FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawassa Gamo Chencha FC
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 6 0
Draws 13 0
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 0.86 0
Goals Conceded 0.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawassa 42 / 100
Gamo Chencha FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawassa Gamo Chencha FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gamo Chencha FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Hawassa scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Hawassa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gamo Chencha FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hawassa VS Gamo Chencha FC
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawassa

(Home)
17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Hawassa
0 : 1
Mechal SC
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6

Gamo Chencha FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Gamo Chencha FC
0 : 2
Ethiopian Insurance

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
7 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Mechal SC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Welayta Dicha 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)