Sport Picks
Hawke s Bay vs Waitakere United
New Zealand
Football Championship 
AI Match Summary
Hawke s Bay play Waitakere United in the Football Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hawke s Bay averaged 1.54 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Waitakere United averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.04 conceded. In past meetings, Hawke s Bay won 2, Waitakere United won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 21, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Hawke s Bay and 1.94 for Waitakere United. This points to a Waitakere United double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hawke s Bay picked up more points recently compared to Waitakere United.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hawke s Bay | Waitakere United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 2.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hawke s Bay Compare
Waitakere United Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hawke s Bay scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Waitakere United let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 5.20 goals.
Hawke s Bay went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Waitakere United lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 35:21 | 26 |
| 3 | Hamilton | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:23 | 19 |
| 5 | Waitakere United | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 6 | Canterbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 18 |
| 7 | Hawke s Bay | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:37 | 10 |