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Hawks vs Fortune

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
52' Event
Jallow M.
62'
Jallow M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Hawks
35%
Draws
51%
Fortune
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortune

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortune have won more games recently than Hawks.
  • Model gives Fortune a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Fortune here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hawks Clean Sheet 17%
Fortune Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawks Fortune
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 GFA League
Hawks vs Fortune
2:2
Jan 13, 2026 GFA League
Fortune vs Hawks
1:0
Jun 13, 2025 GFA League
Fortune vs Hawks
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 GFA League
Hawks vs Fortune
0:1
Jun 16, 2023 GFA League
Fortune vs Hawks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fortune Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colley S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawks 15 / 100
Fortune 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawks Fortune

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortune Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Hawks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hawks scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Fortune has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hawks VS Fortune
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawks

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
10 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Gambia Ports
05 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Team Rhino
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

Fortune

(Away)
22 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Steve Biko
17 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Real Banjul
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0
BST Galaxy
25 May
Brikama United
1 : 2
Fortune
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)