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Hawks vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Marena K.
67' Event
Sowe S.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Hawks and Samger finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Hawks
35%
Draws
41%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Samger haven't matched Hawks's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hawks's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hawks Clean Sheet 68%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hawks Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 GFA League
Hawks vs Samger
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 GFA League
Samger vs Hawks
0:1
May 8, 2023 GFA League
Hawks vs Samger
0:3
Feb 4, 2023 GFA League
Samger vs Hawks
1:1
Jul 29, 2022 GFA League
Samger vs Hawks
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Marena K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hawks 46 / 100
Samger 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hawks Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samger has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Hawks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Hawks scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Hawks VS Samger
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hawks

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
16 Jun
TMT
1 : 1
Hawks
10 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Gambia Ports
05 Jun
Hawks
0 : 0
Team Rhino
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)