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Hay al-Arab vs Hilal El-Fasher

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Hay al-Arab and Hilal El-Fasher finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hay al-Arab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hay al-Arab
33%
Draws
27%
Hilal El-Fasher
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hay al-Arab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Hay al-Arab have managed 1 goals a game lately — Hilal El-Fasher are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Hay al-Arab's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 20%
Hilal El-Fasher Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay al-Arab Hilal El-Fasher
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal El-Fasher
4:1
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay al-Arab
0:2
May 17, 2022 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Hilal El-Fasher
0:1
Feb 8, 2022 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay al-Arab
0:0
Jun 15, 2021 Premier League
Hilal El-Fasher vs Hay al-Arab
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay al-Arab 40 / 100
Hilal El-Fasher 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay al-Arab Hilal El-Fasher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

Hilal El-Fasher let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Hay al-Arab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hay al-Arab VS Hilal El-Fasher
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222