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Hay al-Arab vs Wad Nobawi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2025
Mon, Jan 27, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hay al-Arab play Wad Nobawi in the Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hay al-Arab averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Wad Nobawi averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Hay al-Arab won 0, Wad Nobawi won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 27, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hay al-Arab and 1.00 for Wad Nobawi. This points to a Wad Nobawi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hay al-Arab
40%
Draws
30%
Wad Nobawi
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Wad Nobawi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Hay al-Arab picked up more points recently compared to Wad Nobawi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Hay al-Arab Clean Sheet 23%
Wad Nobawi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay al-Arab Wad Nobawi
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 14
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.15 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2025 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Wad Nobawi
0:0
Dec 29, 2022 Premier League
Wad Nobawi vs Hay al-Arab
1:0
Jun 24, 2022 Premier League
Hay al-Arab vs Wad Nobawi
0:1
Feb 25, 2022 Premier League
Wad Nobawi vs Hay al-Arab
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay al-Arab 32 / 100
Wad Nobawi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay al-Arab Wad Nobawi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wad Nobawi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +27.4%
4.55
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hay al-Arab attacking → ← attacking Wad Nobawi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay al-Arab scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Wad Nobawi let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Hay al-Arab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wad Nobawi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 29
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.14
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Mergheni83419:613
2Hilal Alsahil82607:512
3Al Shorta82338:89
4Al Hilal Manaqil82338:79
5Hay al-Arab82248:148
6Wad Nobawi00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh Obeid1061318:1219
2Zamala Ruwaba1045116:1117
3Rabita Kosti103528:914
4Hilal El-Fasher1033414:1412
5Haidob Al Nuhod1033410:1312
6Merikh Nyala101369:166
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hay Al Wadi63306:312
2Umm Mughad61505:48
3Al-Ahly Merowe61322:36
4Kober61143:64
5Al Zoma00000:00
6Tuti00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani851211:616
2Alamal SC Atbara835011:714
3Ahli Khartoum82338:109
4Alfalah Atbra82337:99
5Ahli Shendi81252:75