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Hay Al Wadi vs Ahli Shendi

Sudan Sudan

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hay Al Wadi play Ahli Shendi in the Premier League 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hay Al Wadi averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Ahli Shendi averaged 0.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Hay Al Wadi won 2, Ahli Shendi won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 10, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Hay Al Wadi and 1.31 for Ahli Shendi. This points to a Hay Al Wadi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hay Al Wadi
27%
Draws
25%
Ahli Shendi
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Hay Al Wadi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Hay Al Wadi picked up more points recently compared to Ahli Shendi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Hay Al Wadi Clean Sheet 18%
Ahli Shendi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hay Al Wadi Ahli Shendi
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2023 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Ahli Shendi
3:0
Nov 29, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Hay Al Wadi
0:1
May 17, 2022 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Ahli Shendi
0:1
Feb 8, 2022 Premier League
Ahli Shendi vs Hay Al Wadi
1:0
Jul 12, 2021 Premier League
Hay Al Wadi vs Ahli Shendi
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hay Al Wadi 47 / 100
Ahli Shendi 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hay Al Wadi Ahli Shendi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hay Al Wadi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hay Al Wadi attacking → ← attacking Ahli Shendi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hay Al Wadi scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Ahli Shendi let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Hay Al Wadi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ahli Shendi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 23
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman20172155:1253
2Al-Merreikh19153133:848
3Hay al-Arab26146639:2648
4Haidob Al Nuhod28136932:2645
5Ahli Khartoum28109935:2939
6Hilal El-Fasher291081131:3138
7Hay Al Wadi24108629:2738
8Alamal SC Atbara261051124:2835
9Al Shorta271051228:3435
10Kober29981232:3735
11Hilal Alsahil26810825:2834
12Wad Nobawi27614720:2432
13Alfalah Atbra25611821:1929
14Ahli Shendi26771214:2628
15Tuti27761426:3827
16Al-Ahly Merowe274131019:3625
17Al Zoma284101422:4022
18Rabita Kosti26571416:3222